Zee induced FMP crisis – an independent perspective
Sunil Jhaveri (Mister Bond)
My take on current crisis in debt markets due to Mutual Fund Exposure to Essel Group with exposure to Zee shares as Collaterals:
First and foremost, let me make this very clear that this note is not to defend or criticise any AMCs for their exposure to this LAS (Loan against Shares) structures of Essel Group against shares of Zee. This note is only an effort to bring back sanity to the already crisis ridden debt markets and not precipitate it further by our irrational/illogical reactions due to huge negative media glare.
What were the options?
Let us analyse this situation dispassionately and from a distance to come up with some logical conclusion. Please understand the choices MFs had on debt given to Essel group against Zee shares:
1) if AMCs would have sold pledged shares, prices would have tanked substantially there would have been actual loss and limited recovery
2) we all know what happened in Jan when "a small lot of" Zee shares were sold by lenders. 1.5 times cover dropped to almost 1.05 times and would have gone in negative if selling would have continued
3) "below par recovery would have" negative impact on schemes holding Zee shares as collaterals including FMPs and open-ended credit funds
4) "a mere liquidity crisis" or "asset liability mismatch" would have then been converted to actual losses for investors
5) most FMPs have paid more than the principal invested barring one FMP has paid out 99.2 % of principal
6) at such crisis times, it is better to give time to the AMCs to sort the issues out and come up with solutions
7) all of us are aware what happened when Amtek Auto default happened. We did not give time to AMC and put huge redemption pressures which only harmed the investors. Eventually, AMC actually salvaged 85% of the value of Amtek Auto security. The same thing happened with JSPL. A delay isn't a loss of full principal.
What’s the present situation?
Fortunately, SEBI has stepped in and giving guidelines for such structures going forward. Also, I believe one of the FMPs has been extended by one more year. That is not the right solution and should not have been done (if true). That is going against the mandate and interests of the investors.
Lessons to be learnt by fund houses
Lessons to be learnt by advisors
In fact, I have mooted this idea to some of the AMCs wherein I am willing to sit with them and create further filters (over and above SEBI guidelines) and transparently share the same with Advisory and Investing community. For example:
This will bring discipline and transparency in the debt market space which is reeling under one crisis after the other in the recent past. I can work on the above and share the list on a monthly basis on my platform www.misterbond.in. Post that Advisors will be able to take an informed, transparent call of whether to invest in certain debt schemes/AMCs based on above filters. We cannot be asking Investors to be patient every time there is crisis in the Industry. This way they will lose their trust and faith in Mutual Fund as an investing vehicle. Instead, if we can become pro-active as an Industry and self-discipline ourselves on several issues so that we do not have to say those dreaded words “This Time it is Different”.
Let us act maturely, stay calm, think logically, not panic and hand hold investors during such trying times instead of adding fuel to fire which is being done by Media on a daily basis. Our job as advisors is not to be part of the Herd but be outside the Herd and guide the investors on the right path.
Just my thoughts - take them or ignore them.
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